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Kronologi over fredssagen og international politik 24. november 2004 / Timeline November 24, 2004

Version 3.5

23. November 2004, 25. November 2004


11/24/2004
Rising War Costs : Monthly war spending passes $5.8 billion, chiefs tell Congress
By: James W. Crawley, Media General
As casualties mount in Iraq, so has the monetary cost of the war. The military is now spending more than $5.8 billion each month, top officials told Congress this week.
The service chiefs of the Army, Navy, Air Force and Marine Corps told the House Armed Service Committee that the price of war has jumped as fighting continues and reconstruction efforts are stymied by security concerns. And, in a few months, more money will be needed.
The Army, with about 110,000 soldiers on the ground in Iraq, has a monthly "burn rate" of $4.7 billion.
The Air Force is spending about $800 million monthly.
The Marines, which are spearheading the fighting in Fallujah, had an average monthly war cost of $300 million.
The Navy, which was silent about its spending during the committee hearing Wednesday, did not provide its war spending totals yesterday.
War spending, known euphemistically as the "burn rate," includes the cost of fighting, feeding and fueling the forces in the area, according to the military.
Besides such consumables as bullets, bombs, food and gas, the money is used to bolster the body and vehicle armor protecting troops; buy weapons, uniforms, tents and other gear for soldiers; and replace vehicles lost in attacks, roadside bombs and accidents.
It doesn't include soldiers' regular pay and other routine costs unchanged by the war.
On a yearly basis, the war tab is about $70 billion.
"That's larger than the gross domestic product of most nations," said Loren Thompson of the Lexington Institute, a research group in Arlington, Va.
The price of war is escalating
Initial cost estimates pegged the monthly burn rate at $2.2 billion in early 2003. By July 2003, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said that costs were running about $3.9 billion a month. In June, the Pentagon comptroller said that the monthly bill was nearly $5 billion.
In August, the Pentagon got a $25 billion boost for the war through a supplemental appropriation, but military officials said this week that the money likely will run out in a few months unless another temporary spending bill is approved.
The money that the Marine Corps' set aside will "take us through the spring," said Gen. Michael Hagee, the Marine commandant.
Hagee testified alongside Army Gen. Peter Schoomaker, Air Force Gen. John Jumper and Navy Adm. Vern Clark.
Defense analyst John Pike said that the burn rate is likely to increase.
"I think the burn rate is going to get worse because the counter-insurgency effort will continue to be on our shoulders," said Pike, who is the director of GlobalSecurity.org, an independent research group.
The fighting in Fallujah and other cities has been rising as January elections in Iraq near. The increasing costs could have a lasting effect on the military's future, military analysts say.
"If the current rate of expenditures is sustained, this will cut into Rumsfeld's plan to transform the military" into a more capable and flexible force, Thompson said.
The result, he suggested, could be cutting new weapons systems or stretching out the purchase of fighters, warships and other weapons. To help understand how much money $5.8 billion is, think of it in $1 bills. That would be 5,800,000,000 bills, weighing nearly 12.8 million pounds. Stacked, the bills would reach more than 393 miles into space.
That's for one month.

11/24/2004
Operation Truth - Is A Draft Coming?
http://www.optruth.org/main.cfm?actionId=globalShowStaticContent&screenKey=draft&lnav=1
Although both the presidential candidates would prefer to avoid it, the draft has remained an important issue this election year. Several recent news reports have raised the issue, this Oct. 11 Time magazine story among them. Plus: Watch a video piecing highlighting TV coverage of the issue, featuring OpTruth's Paul Rieckhoff.
On October 5th, 2004, with no debate and on only hours notice, the House of Representatives voted on a bill that would have reinstated the draft. The proposal was overwhelmingly rejected. Why was it voted on at all? This vote was a political maneuver, intended to put this controversial question to rest before the election.
But the draft is still an issue. Everyone from Senator McCain to Ambassador Bremer have admitted that there is a troop shortage in Iraq. Troop retention and recruitment are down, and the proposals made by both presidential candidates do not adequately address these issues. The next logical contingency is the draft.
Since 1973, America has relied on an all-volunteer military. But in 1980, President Jimmy Carter reinstated "Selective Service registration," the list maintained by the government of men ages 18 to 25 who are eligible for a draft. Young men, citizens or otherwise, must register with the Selective Service before their 18th birthday. If a draft is ever reinstated, these men will be eligible for mandatory military service.
Here are only some of the top officials, military experts, and government leaders who have referred to the strain placed on the military by current operations in Iraq and Afghanistan:
General Richard A. Cody: General Cody, a top Pentagon official, told the House Armed Services Committee: “Are we stretched thin with our active and reserve component forces right now? Absolutely.” (ABC News)
Ambassador J. Paul Bremer: Ambassador Bremer, who governed Iraq after the U.S. invasion, has admitted: "We never had enough troops on the ground." (Washington Post)
Senator John McCain (R-AZ):“We invaded Iraq with enough troops to topple the regime, but not enough to prevent looting, stabilize the country, or maintain security.” (www.mccain.senate.gov)
There’s a lot of evidence that the military is having a hard time meeting the troop levels they need.
The military is relying on troops from non-traditional sources: the National Guard, the Reserves, the Individual Ready Reserves, forces from the National Training Center, troops from the Army’s Delayed Entry program, and troops currently deployed in other theatres.
Currently over 40% of the troops being rotated into Iraq are National Guard members and Reservists. This reliance on Reservists hasn’t been seen since World War II; of the 2 million people who served in Vietnam, only 9,000 were National Guardsmen. (PBS)
In addition to calling on the National Guard and Reserves, the U.S. military is pulling thousands of U.S. troops out of Korea in order to supplement US troop strength in Iraq. (The Washington Post: “U.S. Troops Moving From S. Korea to Iraq”
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A34653-2004May17.html)
Forces from the National Training Center are also being sent to Iraq. (Associated Press) The decision to send key trainers into combat debilitates the long-term strength of the army.
The activation of the Individual Ready Reserveis another Band-Aid solution that is already reaching its limit. (military.com) In September, 2004, the Army Times reported that only 1 in 3 of the civilians called back to service through the IRR have actually shown up.
Issues with Recruitment and Retention As early as 2003, the long and risky deployments in Iraq had begun to have an effect on the National Guard and Reserves. (The Christian Science Monitor) This year, for the first time in ten years, the National Guard has fallen short of recruitment goals. (Associated Press)
The Army has had to increase their efforts in order to reach enlistment goals, including greatly increasing cash bonuses for enlistees and hiring hundreds more recruiters. (USA Today) The Army has recently gone so far as to lower the standards for enlistees (The New York Times) and is even considering shortening the long combat tours that many believe are lowering interest in enlistment. (Reuters)
The United States has been working hard to train Iraqi security forces, but with limited results. See the Army Times article. Training Iraqi police and military recruits may become increasingly difficult, as recruits have been targeted by the insurgents. (The Washington Post)
Titled the “Universal National Service Act of 2003,” this proposal was set forth by Representative Charles Rangel (D-NY) and would require that “all American men and women, as well legal permanent residents, aged 18 to 26, would be subject to compulsory military service or alternative civilian service.” A similar bill was introduced in the Senate on January 9th, 2003 by Senator Ernest Hollings (D-SC).
Changes in the Selective Service would make a draft today more equitable than previous drafts. The Selective Service Performance Plan for 2004 states that “if a draft were held today there would be fewer reasons to excuse a man for service. Before Congress reformed the draft in 1971, a man could qualify for a student deferment…under the new draft law, a college student could have his induction postponed only until the end of the current semester.”
Opponents of the draft believe that a volunteer army is more motivated and better trained than a drafted force. The concept of a female draft is equally controversial. A draft today would likely be more politically divisive and harmful to the militarythan ever before. "In a sharp reversal from historical support for military service, the first comprehensive national survey on the draft reveals that our country could face a crisis in military capacity with an unprecedented number of draft eligible adults stating they will actively seek deferment or refuse to serve if a draft is reinstated." (Alliance for Security)
While the draft has become an issue of importance for the general public, it has already become a reality for many off-duty servicemen. Programs like Stop Loss, known as “the back-door draft,” have been put into effect in order to salvage athinly-stretched army.

11/24/2004

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